← workspace SYSTEM ONLINE NY ... RTH 13:42:08 UTC
USER: D.O'NEILL PLAN: ALL-SIGNALS v131.4
VECTORRIDGE·TERMINAL
SESSION: NY-RTH
MODEL // 02 // SWING // APEX
APEX SWING
Meta-grader + independent firers on top of ZENITH upstream · 46 active models · Grade A–E pure-mean-P&L tier.
SHADOW
awaiting first graded breach
SYMSTATEGRADESIDEENTRYTPSLLIVEP&L
Loading APEX signals SWING · 7-28D HOLD · 15 LIVE MODELS
MODEL // 03 // 720M // OSIRIS
OSIRIS 720M
Recovery / mean-reversion · 720-minute EWMA bands · 79 active models · 5-min cron · conviction-flag overlays.
SHADOW
awaiting first graded breach
SYMSTATEGRADESIDEENTRYTPSLLIVEP&L
Loading OSIRIS signals MULTI HOUR · 0.5-2 SESSION HOLD · 16 LIVE MODELS
MODEL // 04 // 60M // ZENITH
ZENITH 60M
Intraday EWMA bands · 1-min cron · 55 active models · Alpaca bars · LRR/TRR breach detection.
SHADOW
awaiting first graded breach
SYMSTATEGRADESIDEENTRYTPSLLIVEP&L
Loading ZENITH signals DAY TRADE · 0-60 MIN HOLD · 14 LIVE MODELS
RISK MANAGEMENT / Universe / AAPL
A9 full matrix - 720m focus668 A9 analogsVol regime lowData render live-ready
RISK MANAGEMENT v4 product panel - AAPL - bidirectional TRR/LRR probability surface A9-certified matrix
// Live probability map · 30d price · empirical recovery bands Streaming · 14:38 ET · −2.4% from entry
68% 47% 25% 19% BASELINE −0.30bw −0.50bw −1.00bw $179.50 $176.95 $175.45 $170.00 $178.10 30D AGO 15D AGO TODAY
// 02 Position state · probability ladder LIVE
POSITION
Entry$182.40
Current$178.10
Open P&L−2.4%
Size1.4R
PROBABILITY LADDER · P(REC 720m)
BASELINE68%$179.500bw
CLIFF 147%$176.95−0.30bw
BREAK25%$175.45−0.50bw
PLATEAU19%$170.00−1.00bw
RECOMMENDATION
$175.45
Stop placement
After −0.50bw empirical break.
Risks 0.95% · matches sizing target.
METADATA
SourceOSIRIS
Horizon720m
Analogs2,158
Vol bandNormal
MODEL // 06 // MACRO MODEL
MACRO MODEL
Macro regime nowcast · growth × inflation · policy path · cross-asset signals · top-down allocation. Refreshes on every major economic release (jobs / CPI / GDP / Fed).
LIVE
last sync · --:--:-- UTC · auto 6h
·
Current regime · 12-week projection
Regime 3
Growth ↓ · Inflation ↑
MACRO MODEL · 30 APR
Inflation is the common signal. Growth is split, so use the overlap first: energy, commodities, pricing power; wait for confirmation before choosing cyclicals or defense.
Shared Axis
Inflation up
Energy, commodities, pricing power.
Contested
Growth split
Cyclicals vs defense waits for confirmation.
Sizing
No clean favorite
Use overlap, not one-regime conviction.
Vol regime
Elevated
risk premium active
Liquidity 90d
+$125B
supportive impulse
Curve 3m10s
+0.76
un-inverted
Recession 12m
9%
NY Fed model
Regime Guide
Plain English
Regime 1
Growth ↑ · Inflation ↓
Best risk-on backdrop.
Favored
Tech, semis, software, quality growth, discretionary.
Assets
Duration, credit, broad equity beta.
Avoid
Commodity hedges if inflation keeps fading.
Regime 2
Growth ↑ · Inflation ↑
Growth and price pressure rising together.
Favored
Energy, materials, industrials, financials, small caps.
Assets
Oil, copper, commodities, value.
Avoid
Long-duration bonds, expensive unprofitable tech.
Regime 3
Growth ↓ · Inflation ↑
Growth slowing while prices keep rising.
Favored
Energy, staples, healthcare, utilities, defense, pricing power.
Assets
Gold, commodities, volatility, cash.
Avoid
Cyclicals, banks, small caps, discretionary, high-beta tech.
Regime 4
Growth ↓ · Inflation ↓
Both growth and prices rolling over.
Favored
Staples, utilities, healthcare, quality mega-cap, defensive tech.
Assets
Treasuries, USD, cash.
Avoid
Banks, industrials, energy, materials, high-debt cyclicals.
Regime Outlook
Now · 3M · 6M
Regime 3
Growth ↓ · Inflation ↑
Now40%
3M27%
6M24%
Regime 2
Growth ↑ · Inflation ↑
Now27%
3M35%
6M38%
Regime 4
Growth ↓ · Inflation ↓
Now19%
3M21%
6M19%
Regime 1
Growth ↑ · Inflation ↓
Now15%
3M18%
6M19%
Closest Historical Reads
Pattern match
2019-11
4mo before COVID
3M R4 · 6M R4
2024-03
recent base
3M R4 · 6M R3
1995-10
post-Greenspan slowdown
3M R3 · 6M R1
Model Evidence
Why trust it
100%
Deep-recession recall
Historical deep recession months classified as Regime 3 or Regime 4.
436
Monthly anchors
Backtest sample from 1990 to present.
97.4%
All-recession hit rate
Regime 3 / 4 captured nearly every recession month including transition tails.
Anomaly Watch
Top cross-asset dislocations · σ from 5y
▲
WTI Crude
+2.79σ
▲
5Y Breakeven
+2.25σ
▲
Gold / Real Yield
+1.98σ
▼
DXY (Dollar)
−1.72σ
▲
Copper / Gold
+1.45σ
Print Predictions · Next 7 Days
Model vs consensus
Fri 02 May · 08:30 ET
NFP · Apr non-farm payrolls
Model+69k
Consensus+180k
HIGH
Wed 14 May · 08:30 ET
CPI · Apr headline YoY
Model3.4%
Consensus3.4%
MED
Thu 30 May · 08:30 ET
GDP · Q1 advance estimate
Model+1.6%
Consensus+2.4%
HIGH
MODEL // 01 // OVERVIEW
OVERVIEW
All trading models
LIVE
last sync · --:--:-- UTC · auto 1m
MODELSYMSTATEGRADESIDEENTRYTPSLLIVEP&L
02Swing Trade7-28 day hold · 6 signals
02EUR/USDOpenABuy1.08421.09501.07801.0876+0.31%
02GCOpenABuy2,712.002,780.002,678.002,728.50+0.61%
02NQSell NowBSell20,340.5019,950.0020,540.0020,377.10-0.18%
02BTC/USDBuy NowBBuy67,94072,00065,90068,422+0.71%
02USD/JPYWatchCBuy156.20159.00153.80156.13—
02CLTP HitABuy72.4076.0070.8076.05+5.04%
03Multi Hour0.5-2 session hold · 5 signals
03SPYOpenABuy556.20568.00551.20561.43+0.94%
03RTYUpdateBBuy2,182.002,240.002,148.002,191.16+0.42%
03HGBuy NowBBuy4.184.424.084.187+0.16%
03TLTSell NowBSell90.8088.2092.1090.95-0.17%
03DXYOpenASell99.4098.20100.1099.10+0.30%
04Day Trade0-60 minute hold · 5 signals
04NVDAOpenABuy132.40138.50130.20135.59+2.41%
04ESOpenBSell6,886.706,680.006,920.006,850.00+0.53%
04METATP HitABuy568.20595.00558.00595.10+4.73%
04NQUpdateBBuy22,340.0022,700.0022,200.0022,480.00+0.63%
04USD/JPYSell NowASell155.65153.20156.80154.90+0.48%
MODEL // 07 // INDICATORS // TREND + SETUPS
TREND + SETUPS
Two production indicators in one tab. Trade Setups fire pullback, rally-fade, and trail watches on band breaches with full multi-horizon probability matrix. The Trend Stack reads immediate, medium, and long direction across 18 markets.
LIVE
last sync · 13:41 · auto eod
ALL 6 LONGS 5 SHORTS 1
▲
LONG PULLBACK WATCH
AMZNEARLY WATCH0.46 bwHIGHSHADOW
C
NO-CATCH234.18
TRIGGER · LRR240.75
TARGET · MID248.29
STRETCH · TRR257.16
Reach mid-band · 5d horizon
55.49%
720M
5D
20D
Recover entry
93.55
97.94
99.40
Reclaim LRR
90.48
94.56
96.76
Reach mid
21.47
55.49
79.70
Reach TRR
3.64
27.49
59.10
TRENDSTRUCTURAL BULLISHBBB
Wait for pullback into LRR 240.75; first target 248.29; TRR reach probability 27.49%; no-catch cliff 234.18.
▲
LONG PULLBACK WATCH
AAPLEARLY WATCH0.46 bwHIGHSHADOW
C
NO-CATCH246.25
TRIGGER · LRR253.36
TARGET · MID258.80
STRETCH · TRR265.21
Reach mid-band · 5d horizon
58.95%
720M
5D
20D
Recover entry
91.86
95.18
97.68
Reclaim LRR
90.64
94.43
96.07
Reach mid
20.58
58.95
80.06
Reach TRR
4.30
27.30
60.92
TRENDBULLISH TRANSITIONBNB
Wait for pullback into LRR 253.36; first target 258.80; TRR reach probability 27.30%; no-catch cliff 246.25.
▲
LONG PULLBACK WATCH
NVDAEARLY WATCH0.50 bwLOWSHADOW
C
NO-CATCH182.01
TRIGGER · LRR190.22
TARGET · MID195.73
STRETCH · TRR201.16
Reach mid-band · 5d horizon
67.65%
720M
5D
20D
Recover entry
90.46
95.40
98.20
Reclaim LRR
91.22
95.39
98.48
Reach mid
29.37
67.65
87.27
Reach TRR
5.30
37.62
69.10
TRENDEARLY BULLISH REVERSALBBB
Wait for pullback into LRR 190.22; first target 195.73; TRR reach probability 37.62%; no-catch cliff 182.01.
▲
LONG PULLBACK WATCH
TSLABACKGROUND0.41 bwLOWLIVE
C
NO-CATCH341.23
TRIGGER · LRR354.43
TARGET · MID366.78
STRETCH · TRR380.84
Reach mid-band · 5d horizon
59.98%
720M
5D
20D
Recover entry
88.45
95.05
96.89
Reclaim LRR
91.38
95.93
97.97
Reach mid
19.81
59.98
80.64
Reach TRR
4.90
33.20
65.40
TRENDBULLISH TRANSITIONBBB
Wait for pullback into LRR 354.43; first target 366.78; TRR reach probability 33.20%; no-catch cliff 341.23.
▼
SHORT RALLY-FADE WATCH
MSFTBACKGROUND0.48 bwHIGHSHADOW
C
LRR381.83
TARGET · MID395.29
TRIGGER · TRR407.76
NO-FADE420.73
Reach mid-band · 5d horizon
58.40%
720M
5D
20D
Recover entry
81.78
92.72
96.32
Reclaim TRR
91.17
95.62
97.50
Reach mid
28.89
58.40
78.26
Reach LRR
4.30
28.12
57.00
TRENDBEAR MARKET RALLYBBB
Wait for rally into TRR 407.76; fade target 395.29; reach-LRR probability 28.12%; no-fade cliff 420.73.
▲
LONG PULLBACK WATCH
NFLXBACKGROUND0.52 bwNORMALLIVE
C
NO-CATCH98.90
TRIGGER · LRR103.72
TARGET · MID107.47
STRETCH · TRR111.74
Reach mid-band · 5d horizon
63.13%
720M
5D
20D
Recover entry
90.58
96.62
98.47
Reclaim LRR
90.25
95.63
97.61
Reach mid
24.09
63.13
85.80
Reach TRR
4.68
35.82
72.36
TRENDEARLY BULLISH REVERSALBBB
Wait for pullback into LRR 103.72; first target 107.47; TRR reach probability 35.82%; no-catch cliff 98.90.
Trigger · LRR for longs, TRR for shorts (band edge) Target · mid-band reclaim Risk · no-catch / no-fade cliff (band breach) Cards sorted · readiness then distance-to-trigger ascending
Direct access
PRO ACCESS · READ ONLY
Single seat · Institutional
$5,000/ quarter
≈ $1,667 / month · 1 seat
  • Everything in Stack
  • REST API + webhook delivery
  • ATLAS deep-feed (every sub-model)
  • Full historical archive (2018→)
  • Daily macro brief PDF (pre-open)
  • Direct research email line
  • Earlier signal release
Apply for access →
RECOMMENDED
Team
PRO FULL ACCESS
Up to 5 seats · Desk
$10,000/ quarter
≈ $3,333 / month · 5 seats
  • Everything in Read-Only
  • Up to 5 user seats
  • Private Slack with research team
  • Quarterly 60-min strategy call
  • Compliance + audit logs
  • Custom dashboard build
  • Priority feature requests
Apply for access →
WHAT YOU GET
  • ✓Dedicated PM assigned at onboarding.
  • ✓24/7 direct line — Bloomberg, Symphony, Signal, WhatsApp.
  • ✓Live portfolio mirror — see every position before retail.
  • ✓Custom mandate — vol budget, leverage cap, instrument whitelist.
  • ✓Pre-print research — Macro + RISK MANAGEMENT 12-24h ahead of retail.
  • ✓Compliance pack — signed tearsheets, audit log, annual third-party verification.
WHO IT’S FOR
  • Family offices — looking for an active alpha overlay on a passive core.
  • Institutional desks — prop and hedge funds wanting a discretionary macro sleeve.
  • Platforms — SMA, managed accounts, whitelabel arrangements.
  • Serious individual allocators — who want a real PM relationship, not retail.
MODEL // 08 // LONG-TERM INVESTING
LONG-TERM
Long-horizon stock picks · two methodologies in one tab. Deep-research fundamental theses and the quant + fundamental signal-strength bench.
LIVE
last sync · 5/13/2026 · auto weekly
LONG DAR Darling Ingredients Energy Best Idea Long
// thesis
Active Long benefiting from rising diesel prices and widening crack spreads. Structural cost advantage — feedstock (animal tallow, used cooking oil) has not risen with crude, expanding renewable diesel margins. EPA policy support and the Valero partnership reinforce scale, distribution, and production edge in biofuels.
LONG MUSA Murphy USA Consumer Staples Active Long
// thesis
Levered to fuel price volatility and rate-of-change dynamics — price-led model drives both margin expansion and traffic. Higher mix of gasoline, energy drinks, and nicotine positions MUSA to benefit disproportionately from improving consumer activity and C-store category strength.
LONG BTI British American Tobacco Consumer Staples Best Idea Long
// thesis
Elevated from Long Bias to Best Idea Long on increased confidence in nicotine industry deregulation. Nicotine pouch growth continuing at double-digit rates with BTI maintaining global leadership in the category.
LONG CZR Caesars Entertainment Gaming · Lodging · Leisure Best Idea Long
// thesis
High-conviction long. Accelerating Las Vegas fundamentals + improving demand drive near-term earnings upside, independent of M&A optionality. ~35–40% upside potential with takeout optionality even at <50% deal probability.
LONG RSI Rush Street Interactive Gaming · Lodging · Leisure
// thesis
Blowout quarter with revenue growth of 41%. Full-year revenue growth has potential to continue moving higher, and management is beginning to show an inflection in bottom-line profitability.
LONG AMZN Amazon.com Retail / Mega Cap Active Long
// thesis
Continued bullishness around AWS acceleration and expanding infrastructure capacity. Retail operations remain underappreciated with meaningful leverage expected from robotics, automation, and 30-minute grocery delivery expansion.
LONG WRBY Warby Parker Retail
// thesis
Positive into an expected AI-glasses-driven acceleration following what management described as the final weak quarter before reacceleration. Beat on revenue, EBITDA, and EPS while remaining bullish on AI glasses launches.
LONG TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software Active Long
// thesis
Remains a long based on the GTA VI launch cycle and growing confidence around the November 19, 2026 release timeline. Marketing initiatives with Sony and upcoming preorder catalysts could support shares well ahead of launch.
LONG GOOGL Alphabet Communications
// thesis
Standout expected from Google Cloud with additional tailwinds from YouTube. The company is monetizing Gemini effectively, supporting the broader AI thesis and earnings power.
LONG SBUX Starbucks Restaurants
// thesis
Delivered one of its best quarters in recent memory — blew away earnings estimates and raised guidance. Announced plans to divest the China business, which has been a persistent earnings drag.
Best Idea = highest-conviction tier.
refresh · weekly
GUIDE // 10 // GETTING STARTED
HOW TO USE
Five-minute orientation. What each model does, how to read a signal, and the daily flow that turns the terminal into actual P&L.
GUIDE
5 min read · updated weekly
00
Grades explained
Every signal carries a letter grade reflecting its conviction. Each market has its own grading scale derived from Vector Ridge internal data. Higher grade = higher expected P&L per trade.
SWING TRADE
7-28d hold
APEX · 5 grades
A
Highest conviction
Top tier setups, full size
Avg P&L
+6.40%
Win rate
94%
Avg win
+7.02
Avg loss
-3.20
B
Strong & reliable
The most consistent winners
Avg P&L
+4.74%
Win rate
93%
Avg win
+5.37
Avg loss
-3.20
C
Strong & bigger
Wins less often, larger when they hit
Avg P&L
+4.79%
Win rate
86%
Avg win
+6.08
Avg loss
-3.20
D
Moderate conviction
Meaningful edge, lower payoff
Avg P&L
+3.45%
Win rate
85%
Avg win
+4.62
Avg loss
-3.20
E
Speculative
Smallest edge, still profitable, loss-capped
Avg P&L
+2.91%
Win rate
86%
Avg win
+3.93
Avg loss
-3.14
MULTI HOUR
0.5-2 session hold
OSIRIS · 4 grades
A
Highest conviction
Strongest setups across the session
Avg P&L
+1.52%
Win rate
77%
Avg win
+2.39
Avg loss
-1.39
B
Strong conviction
Clean edge, reliable shape
Avg P&L
+0.74%
Win rate
68%
Avg win
+1.64
Avg loss
-1.17
C
Moderate conviction
Positive expected value, smaller payoff
Avg P&L
+0.61%
Win rate
68%
Avg win
+1.38
Avg loss
-1.05
D
Speculative
Smallest edge, still profitable
Avg P&L
+0.39%
Win rate
65%
Avg win
+1.10
Avg loss
-0.90
DAY TRADE
0-60 min hold
ZENITH · 4 grades
A
Highest conviction
Cleanest intraday setups
Avg P&L
+0.31%
Win rate
64%
Avg win
+0.78
Avg loss
-0.54
B
Strong conviction
Clean shape, solid edge
Avg P&L
+0.17%
Win rate
59%
Avg win
+0.59
Avg loss
-0.44
C
Moderate conviction
Positive edge, smaller payoff
Avg P&L
+0.11%
Win rate
57%
Avg win
+0.46
Avg loss
-0.37
D
Speculative
Smallest edge, still positive
Avg P&L
+0.10%
Win rate
57%
Avg win
+0.42
Avg loss
-0.33
i
How it works
When a new signal fires, its setup is matched against similar historical setups in Vector Ridge internal data. The stronger the matching cohort’s average performance, the higher the grade — A is top tier expected P&L. The grade reflects the signal’s shape, not the model behind it.
#
The numbers above
Realized performance per grade: average P&L per trade, win rate, and the typical win/loss size. These are actual outcomes for each tier — not theoretical. Swing losses cap at −3.2% via the live stop.
01
Start here — 60 seconds
The simplest possible loop, before any deep dives.
1
Open the model that fits your hold
Tab 2 Swing (7-28d), 3 Multi Hour (0.5-2 sessions), or 4 Day Trade (0-60min).
2
Set alerts
Tab 0 Alerts — pick your channel (PWA, Desktop, Telegram). You'll be notified on entry triggers and target/stop hits.
02
Read a signal
Every row in every model table is the same shape. Once you read one, you read them all.
SYMEUR/USD
STATEOPEN
GRADEA
SIDEBUY
ENTRY1.0842
TP1.0950
SL1.0780
LIVE1.0876
P&L+0.31%
SYMThe instrument. Forex, futures, equities, crypto.
STATEOPEN = position live · UPDATE = levels just moved · SELL NOW / BUY NOW = action required · TP HIT · WATCH / WAITING = pre-trigger
GRADEA top tier · B strong · C moderate · D lower · E speculative — see section 00 for per-market stats
SIDEBUY or SELL — direction of the position
ENTRYPublished entry level. Only changes if a model issues an UPDATE.
TPTake-profit target. Position closes if LIVE reaches this.
SLStop loss. Position closes (loss capped) if LIVE reaches this.
LIVEReal-time price. Refreshes continuously.
P&LUnrealized return on the open position. Green = winning, red = losing.
03
The models
Eight models. Three you trade from. Five that frame the trade.
01Overviewall models
All trading models together in one view.
02Swing Trade7-28 day hold
Trading model for swing trading over a 7-28 day period.
03Multi Hour0.5-2 sessions
Trading model for multi-hour trades held across 0.5-2 sessions.
04Day Trade0-60 minutes
Trading model for day trades with 0-60 minute holds.
05Risk Managementstop-loss + take-profit
Risk management model with stop-loss and take-profit zones for sizing existing positions.
06Macro Modelregime + nowcasts
Macro model: regime nowcasts (growth × inflation), liquidity, curve, recession probability.
07Indicatorstrend + setups
Trend stack across 18 markets and setup watches (pullback, rally-fade, trim/trail, no-catch).
08Investinglong-term book
Long-term investing model for 401k / ISA-style allocations.
PERFORMANCE
Real-time P&L across every active trading model · complete trade history with filters · per-model and aggregate stats.
LIVE
last sync · --:-- UTC · auto 1m
Per-Model Performanceall-time · overview + 3 trading models
All Tradessortable · filterable
0 / 0 trades
Date Open Close Model Symbol Side Entry → Exit P&L % Status
Loading trades…
—
DASHBOARD // 09 // ALERTS
ALERT NOTIFICATIONS
Configure delivery channels and per-model subscriptions. Live alert feed streams in the right rail.
CONFIG
preferences sync · auto
DELIVERY CHANNELS Where alerts get delivered
☐
Download App PWA
Install Vector Ridge as a mobile app for native push notifications. Works on iOS & Android — no app store, just one tap from the browser.
☼
Desktop Notifications
Browser push notifications on this device. Enable to receive alerts even when the terminal tab is in the background.
►
Telegram Optional
Optional if you already receive notifications via the app. Click Connect to link your account via @vectorridge_bot.
✉
Email
Alerts delivered to ondarren1@gmail.com. Update your address in Account settings.
MODEL SUBSCRIPTIONS Which trading models trigger alerts
02
Swing Trade
7-28 day hold · Multi-asset macro. Alerts on entry triggers, target hits, stop losses.
03
Multi Hour
0.5-2 session hold · Intraday swing. Alerts on entry, update, target, stop.
04
Day Trade
0-60 minute hold · Scalp setups. High-frequency alerts on entry, exit, and protective stops.
DASHBOARD // 11 // SUPPORT
SUPPORT TICKET
Submit a ticket and we'll get back within one business day. For urgent platform incidents see the status page.
RESPONSE < 24H
support · ondarren1@gmail.com
NEW TICKET Tell us what's going on. The more detail, the faster we resolve it.
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