7-28 day positioning corridor. A trend-following signal engine with precision dip entries. 78 signals 2026 YTD, 74.4% win rate, +225% raw P&L, 100% win on Grade A+B. Cryptographically timestamped at release.
Grade A+B win rate. Closes at 82%+ on rolling 12-month windows · +17pp vs all-grade base of 65%.
Swing Trade waits for the pullback inside the trend — the structural rest, the technical breath, the moment of doubt in an otherwise clean directional tape. The model never tries to call a top or a bottom; it waits for the trend to be obvious, and then watches for the dip.
Above: a stylised price action. The dotted channel is the trend regime. The amber box is the precision dip — a pullback within the dominant trend, identified by momentum slowdown and structural support. The green circle is the published entry; the green line is the exit target; the red line is the stop.
Trend regime, momentum, and structural support are all computed quantitatively from a closing-price daily window. There is no chart-reading, no pattern-naming.
Each quant signal is then checked against the Vector Ridge macro framework for that asset, that day. Aligned signals advance; opposed signals are dropped.
Conviction grade A–E is set at the moment of entry and does not change in flight. The grade is the model's word, given on the record.
Every figure is reported raw and unweighted — no portfolio sizing, no fees baked in. Reconciled annually by AuditedTrader.
| # | SYM / CLASS | DIR | GRD | ENTRY | TARGET | STOP | R/R | P&L | STATUS | AGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | EUR/USDFX MAJOR | LONG | A | 1.0875 | 1.1240 | 1.0780 | 3.84 | +3.36% | OPEN | 8d |
| 002 | XAU/USDGOLD SPOT | LONG | A | 2,615.00 | 2,780.00 | 2,540.00 | 2.20 | +6.31% | OPEN | 5d |
| 003 | NQNASDAQ 100 FUT | SHORT | B | 21,840 | 21,200 | 22,180 | 1.88 | +2.93% | OPEN | 4d |
| 004 | BTC/USDBITCOIN | LONG | B | 67,400 | 74,000 | 63,800 | 1.83 | +9.79% | OPEN | 11d |
| 005 | SPYS&P 500 ETF | LONG | C | 588.00 | 612.00 | 578.00 | 2.40 | +4.08% | OPEN | 3d |
| 006 | USD/JPYFX MAJOR | SHORT | A | 154.20 | 150.40 | 155.55 | 2.85 | +1.42% | OPEN | 2d |
| 007 | CL=FWTI CRUDE FUT | LONG | B | 78.50 | 84.00 | 75.20 | 2.10 | +2.18% | OPEN | 6d |
| 008 | AAPLEQUITY | LONG | C | 218.40 | 232.00 | 214.00 | 1.95 | +1.80% | OPEN | 1d |
For each grade, the model declares an expected win-rate band at entry. Below: actual closed-rate vs band. All five grades land inside their declared bands over the rolling 12-month window — the model is well-calibrated.
| YR | JAN | FEB | MAR | APR | MAY | JUN | JUL | AUG | SEP | OCT | NOV | DEC | ANN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 76 | 42 | 38 | 81 | 74 | 68 | 75 | 71 | 60 | 77 | 82 | 83 | 71 |
| 2021 | 75 | 76 | 69 | 62 | 71 | 74 | 77 | 70 | 58 | 73 | 78 | 72 | 72 |
| 2022 | 63 | 76 | 82 | 81 | 83 | 78 | 72 | 77 | 85 | 82 | 76 | 71 | 77 |
| 2023 | 84 | 88 | 86 | 82 | 90 | 85 | 81 | 87 | 83 | 89 | 85 | 88 | 86 |
| 2024 | 82 | 81 | 78 | 85 | 83 | 76 | 77 | 82 | 84 | 86 | 81 | 77 | 81 |
| 2025 | 85 | 82 | 87 | 89 | 83 | 81 | 88 | 84 | 90 | 92 | 85 | 83 | 86 |
| EVENT WINDOW | SHOCK | TYPE | MARKET IMPACT | A+B WIN MTH | OUTCOME |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAR · 2020 | COVID CrashPandemic-driven liquidation | TAIL EVENT | SPX -34% / VIX 82 | 76% | ADAPTED |
| FEB · 2022 | Russia / UkraineGeopolitical · commodity shock | GEOPOLITICAL | XLE +20% / WTI +30% | 82% | CAPTURED |
| MAR · 2023 | SVB / Banking CrisisRegional bank failures | CREDIT | KRE -28% / TLT +6% | 86% | AVOIDED |
| OCT · 2023 | Israel / GazaGeopolitical risk-off | GEOPOLITICAL | XAU +9% / DXY +2% | 89% | CAPTURED |
| AUG · 2024 | Yen Carry UnwindCross-asset deleveraging | CROSS-ASSET | NKY -12% / JPY +6% | 84% | ADAPTED |
| APR · 2025 | Tariff VolatilityTrade-policy regime shift | POLICY | DXY +6% / EM -8% | 92% | CAPTURED |
EUR/USD up-trend regime detected, momentum slowdown into 1.0875 structural support — raw quant signal generated.
EUR-USD rate differential narrowing; risk-on tape; macro thesis aligns with quant — full alignment.
Conviction grade set at A on full alignment. Entry, direction, target, and stop written down.
Cryptographic timestamp recorded. Subscribers notified via dashboard, email, push.
Position open, currently +3.36% · 8 days held · 60% of move to target captured.
The Swing Trade engine is mechanical at its core — but every raw signal is checked against the Vector Ridge macro framework before publication. The grade encodes how cleanly the two reads agree. Quant alone gets you to the trade. Macro alignment gets you to the grade.
Trend regime, momentum, structural support. Computed from a closing-price window. Pure mechanics.
Per-asset macro thesis, refreshed daily. Rate-cycle, growth–inflation, risk-on/off. Discretionary read.
Alignment determines grade. A is full agreement. E is marginal. Permanent at entry.
Trend-following with precision dip entries. Each session prices 30 instruments across all six markets, identifying pullback levels where price rebounds within the dominant trend.
Conviction A–E by quant–macro alignment. Grade A requires full agreement; Grade E is speculative. Grade is permanent at entry.
Returns reported raw and unweighted, before any portfolio sizing rules. Audited annually by AuditedTrader.
| CLS | SYM / CLASS | DIR | GRD | ENTRY | EXIT | DAYS | P&L | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 487 | XAU/USD | LONG | B | 2,510 | 2,659 | 12d | +5.92% | TARGET HIT |
| 486 | DXY | LONG | A | 104.20 | 106.47 | 9d | +2.18% | TARGET HIT |
| 485 | NQ | SHORT | A | 22,150 | 21,083 | 7d | +4.82% | TARGET HIT |
| 484 | ETH/USD | LONG | C | 3,184 | 3,378 | 15d | +6.10% | TARGET HIT |
| 483 | EUR/JPY | SHORT | B | 163.20 | 157.65 | 11d | +3.40% | TARGET HIT |
| 482 | GBP/USD | LONG | C | 1.2640 | 1.2406 | 8d | -1.85% | STOPPED |
| 481 | SI=F | LONG | B | 28.40 | 30.85 | 14d | +8.62% | TARGET HIT |
| 480 | TLT | LONG | D | 92.50 | 91.65 | 6d | -0.92% | STOPPED |
Flagship. Trend-following + precision dip entries · 7-28 day hold · 30 instruments · 6 markets · graded A–E. +225% raw P&L 2026 YTD.
Ultra-selective hours-to-days conviction. Continuously scans the universe; fires only when macro, technical, and quantitative reads align. +404% raw P&L 2026 YTD.
High-accuracy intraday specialist. Optimised for win-rate over magnitude · tight risk parameters · narrower entry conditions. +95% raw P&L 2026 YTD.
Long-horizon positioning · weeks-to-quarters. Drawdown-tolerant sizing, equity and asset-class entries. +502% raw P&L 2026 YTD.
The Swing Trade Model has a defined operating envelope. Inside that envelope, it is a strong, repeatable signal engine. Outside it, it is silent. Below: the explicit list of what the model claims and does not claim — written down, on the record.
Every Swing Trade signal is a single, standardised block — readable in five seconds, executable on any platform. Each block carries an instrument, a direction, an entry, an exit target, a conviction grade, and a cryptographic timestamp. Nothing more, and nothing fewer.
Performance updated session-by-session · cryptographic stamp on every position.
