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Commodities

Gold Hits All-Time Highs

The spot price blew decisively past $2,800 and kept marching higher. Central bank buying, geopolitical hedging, and de-dollarization are driving a structural bid.

March 2025
Q1 CB Buying
290t
Top Buyer
China
YTD Return
+18%
De-Dollarization
BRICS

Central Banks Can't Get Enough

Central banks added another 290 tonnes in the first quarter alone. China has been the headline buyer, but Turkey, India, Poland, and emerging-market players are all stacking bars at a pace we haven't seen since the 1960s.

Why now? Diversification away from U.S. Treasuries in a world where weaponized finance has become the norm. Frozen Russian reserves set the precedent.

Gold is neutral, liquid, and nobody can freeze it. It's the ultimate insurance policy.

Geopolitical Hedging Goes Mainstream

From ongoing tensions in the Middle East to trade frictions and great-power competition, the world feels riskier. Gold thrives in exactly this environment.

When real yields are volatile, inflation sticky, and safe-haven assets like Treasuries lose luster (thanks to ballooning deficits), gold steps in.

Retail flows are picking up via ETFs, but the real weight comes from institutions quietly rotating into the metal as portfolio ballast.

De-Dollarization Gains Traction

BRICS nations aren't just talking about alternatives — they're acting. Bilateral trade in local currencies is expanding, RMB internationalization is accelerating, and gold is the neutral settlement asset.

The share of USD in global reserves has been sliding for years, and gold's share is rising in lockstep.

Every headline about new BRICS payment systems sends another ripple through the market. It's a slow structural shift creating persistent bid for physical metal.

Bottom Line

Gold breaking out isn't a fluke. It's central bank buying on steroids, rational hedging against geopolitical messiness, and early-stage de-dollarization playing out in real time.

This move has legs. Supply is constrained — mine production is flat. We've been adding exposure selectively. In uncertain times, a little insurance goes a long way.

Position Disclosure

Vector Ridge holds physical gold and select gold-mining exposure as a strategic hedge.

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