About Signals
ShowReal-time trade alerts with exact buy and sell levels. Position sizing and stop losses are your responsibility. For Grade A assets, trading without a stop loss is recommended — this approach yields a significantly higher win rate due to the strong macro-fundamental conviction behind these positions. If the position is reduced to a lower Grade, you will receive a signal and be advised if the position should remain open or be reduced. All grade classes are tradable, but Grade A assets offer the best and most predictable results. When a Grade A asset reaches its sell level, consider reducing your position rather than closing entirely — these are high-conviction longs backed by fundamental research (see Research tab for full conviction notes). Signals are updated live before US Market Open. If you are unsure how to use these signals, before risking your capital, please contact us at [email protected].
FED CUTS RATES IN Q1 2026 • Grade A
BTC ABOVE $100K BY FEB 2026 • Grade B
US RECESSION IN 2026 • Grade B
GOP WINS SENATE 2024 • Grade A
ETH ETF APPROVED Q1 2024 • Grade C
About Tradable Assets
ShowYou can trade all asset grades successfully — our signals accurately identify price action at the top and bottom of ranges, and lower-graded assets can still offer good opportunities. However, our data shows that higher grades are the most predictable and easiest to trade effectively with less robust risk management. Trading Grade A only has proven to have the best and most consistent results and is recommended for new traders.
Grade A: Highest conviction. Strong macro-fundamental alignment with clear directional bias. Recommended for larger position sizes. No stop loss recommended — these are core positions.
Grade B: High conviction. Solid fundamentals with favorable technicals. Standard position sizing with optional stop loss.
Grade C: Moderate conviction. Mixed signals or developing setup. Smaller position size recommended. Stop loss advised.
Grade D: Low conviction. Conflicting fundamentals or unfavorable macro conditions. Trade with caution, tight stops required, reduced size.
Grade E: Be cautious — experienced traders only. Fundamentally uncertain with dangerous volatility. Conditions are too unpredictable to have an edge. Wait for clarity before considering entry.
About Research & Updates
ShowIn-depth analysis, trade reviews, and market commentary. We publish weekly outlooks, event previews, and post-trade breakdowns so you understand the "why" behind every position.
Fed Rate Cut Probability Analysis
Breaking down the data supporting our Q1 rate cut thesis. What the market is missing.
BTC $100K: The Path Forward
Why we're confident in February target. ETF flows, halving cycle, and technicals.
Recession Odds: Why We're Betting NO
Economic indicators suggest soft landing. Our thesis and risk factors.
2024 Election Trades: Post-Mortem
Breaking down our winning and losing positions. Lessons for 2026.
2026 Prediction Markets Outlook
Key events, catalysts, and opportunities we're watching this year.
About Market Notes
ShowReal-time observations and quick takes from Darren throughout the trading day. These are informal notes on market moves, sentiment shifts, and things to watch — not formal signals, but valuable context to inform your trading.