Which Vector Ridge models trade Polymarket?

Polymarket prediction markets are covered primarily by the Swing Trade and Multi Hour models (the natural cadence of binary contract resolution windows) and by the Investing model for long-resolution markets. Day Trade fires on liquid event-driven contracts with intraday liquidity. ATLAS macro framework tags every Polymarket fire with its quadrant context where relevant.

What does the conviction grade A–E mean on a Polymarket signal?

Grade A is the highest-conviction tier and clears the highest corridor bar (Swing Trade A ≥ 6.00%, Multi Hour A ≥ 4.50%, Day Trade A ≥ 0.70%). B is strong conviction, C moderate, D lower, E speculative. On Polymarket contracts, the corridor is interpreted as implied-probability dislocation between current market price and the model's fair value.

Are these sample Polymarket signals real?

The sample signals shown here mirror the exact format paid subscribers see in their dashboard — same contract, direction, entry price, target, static stop, conviction grade, and model badge. They are presented for format demonstration. Live signals across all four models and all six universes require a paid plan.

How do I get live Polymarket signals from Vector Ridge?

Start a 7-day free trial on the All Models plan ($50/month) to get every signal from all four models across all six market universes, including Polymarket. Or pick a Single Model plan ($20/month + ATLAS bundled) if you only want one of Swing Trade, Multi Hour, Day Trade, or Investing.

Sample Polymarket Signals · 4-Model Platform

Below are real-formatted sample prediction-market signals from the four Vector Ridge models on the Polymarket universe. Each card shows the model that fired (Swing Trade · Multi Hour · Day Trade · Investing), direction (YES/NO buy), entry (implied probability), target, static stop, conviction grade (A–E), and a brief rationale. This is exactly the format paid subscribers see in their dashboard. Models and grade bars: Swing Trade (A bar ≥ 6.00%), Multi Hour (A bar ≥ 4.50%), Day Trade (A bar ≥ 0.70%), Investing (long-resolution book). ATLAS macro quadrant tag accompanies signals where relevant.

SAMPLE POLYMARKET SIGNALS · ACROSS THE 4 MODELS

YES

FED > 50BP CUT BY DEC · SWING TRADE · GRADE A

Entry: 0.34 Target: 0.52 Stop: 0.28 Quadrant: Deflation

Implied-probability dislocation 18pts. Macro signal aligns with Deflation quad path.

~21dActive

RECESSION CALLED BY EOY · MULTI HOUR · GRADE A

Entry: 0.42 Target: 0.36 Stop: 0.45 Quadrant: Goldilocks

Mispricing on event-window news catalyst. ~12h target window.

~12hActive

YES

SPX CLOSES > 6,000 BY MAR · DAY TRADE · GRADE B

Entry: 0.58 Target: 0.62 Stop: 0.56 Quadrant: Reflation

Intraday post-news drift. ~40m target window. Equities path bullish.

40mActive

YES

BTC CLOSES > $80K BY YE · INVESTING · GRADE A

Entry: 0.41 Target: 0.62 Stop: 0.32 Quadrant: Reflation

Long-resolution prediction. Investing-book parity with crypto Reflation positioning.

~9moOpen

GAS > $4/GAL BY JUL · MULTI HOUR · GRADE B

Entry: 0.38 Target: 0.32 Stop: 0.41 Quadrant: Stagflation

Mispricing in retail-gas event contract. ~14h window.

~14hActive

YES

10Y YIELD < 4% BY JUN · SWING TRADE · GRADE A

Entry: 0.31 Target: 0.48 Stop: 0.24 Quadrant: Deflation

17pt probability dislocation. Aligns with TLT long thesis. ~21d target.

~21dActive

YES

DXY > 105 BY APR · MULTI HOUR · GRADE C

Entry: 0.46 Target: 0.51 Stop: 0.43 Quadrant: Stagflation

Moderate-conviction event signal. Grade C — reduced size, ~10h target.

~10hActive

YES

OIL CLOSES > $80 BY MAY · SWING TRADE · GRADE B

Entry: 0.44 Target: 0.52 Stop: 0.40 Quadrant: Reflation

8pt probability dislocation. Aligns with CL long Swing thesis. ~14d target.

~14dActive

CONVICTION GRADING · A–E

Every Vector Ridge signal is graded A through E based on dislocation depth, ATLAS-quadrant alignment, and model overlay strength at signal fire.

Grade A — HighestClears top corridor bar. Swing ≥6.00%, Multi Hour ≥4.50%, Day Trade ≥0.70%.

Grade B — StrongStrong dislocation + overlay alignment. Full size tradable.

Grade C — ModerateModerate conviction. Reduced size recommended.

Grade D — LowerLower conviction. Smaller size, tighter management.

Grade E — SpeculativeSpeculative tier. Smallest sizing or skip.

GET LIVE SIGNALS ACROSS ALL 6 UNIVERSES

Polymarket is one of six universes the four models trade. Subscribers see every fire — Forex · Futures · Indices · Equities · Crypto · Polymarket — in a single dashboard.

Start 7-day free trial · All Models · $50/mo Pick a single model · $20/mo

ATLAS macro framework bundled with every plan. Institutional access from $5,000/quarter — see Institutional.

About These Signals

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Each Polymarket signal includes entry implied-probability, target (model's fair value), and a static stop — Vector Ridge does not use trailing stops. Position sizing is your responsibility. Grade A signals carry the highest dislocation + overlay conviction; smaller sizes are recommended at Grade C–E. ATLAS macro-quadrant context accompanies signals where relevant. Questions: support@vector-ridge.com.

See the 4 Models in detail →

SAMPLE POLYMARKET SIGNALS · LIVE FORMAT