Audited Performance Data

Signal ROI Simulator

Backtest audited trading signal performance from 2016 to present. See what your capital would have grown to using real, independently verified signals from a World Trading Championship competitor.

9
Years of Data
6
Asset Classes
700+
Historical Signals
Audited
Verified Returns

Historical Signal Performance Simulator

✓ Independently Audited
Starting Capital USD
Risk Per Trade 1.0%
Time Period
Returns Mode
Asset Classes
Signal Filter
Portfolio Performance
Final Portfolio Value
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Run simulation to see results
Total Return
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CAGR
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Win Rate
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Profit Factor
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Sharpe Ratio
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Risk Metrics
Max Drawdown
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Avg Win
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Avg Loss
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Equity Curve
Drawdown
Signals vs Buy & Hold (S&P 500)
Yearly Breakdown
YearReturnTradesWin RateMax DDSharpe
Important: Past performance is not indicative of future results. This simulator uses real historical signal data but actual results depend on execution timing, slippage, and market conditions. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. All performance data has been independently audited by AuditedTrader.com.

Why Audited Backtesting Changes Everything

The signal provider industry has a transparency problem. Most providers show cherry-picked results, hypothetical backtests, or screenshots of winning trades while quietly deleting the losers. This makes it nearly impossible for traders to evaluate whether a signal service is genuinely profitable or simply good at marketing.

The Signal ROI Simulator solves this by letting you backtest against independently audited historical performance data. Every signal, every win, every loss, and every drawdown from 2016 to present is included. Nothing is hidden, nothing is hypothetical, and the data comes from a verified World Trading Championship competitor whose returns have been audited by a third-party verification service.

What Makes This Simulator Different

Standard backtesting tools let you test a strategy against historical price data. This tool is fundamentally different: it simulates what would have happened if you followed actual, real-time signals that were issued to subscribers. The signals were not generated after the fact or optimized with hindsight. They were live calls made in real market conditions, with real money on the line.

This distinction matters enormously. A strategy that looks profitable in hindsight may fail in live trading due to execution delays, emotional decision-making, and market impact. The signal data in this simulator has already passed the hardest test: it was traded live, with real capital, under competitive conditions.

Understanding the Key Metrics

The simulator outputs several professional-grade metrics that institutional traders use to evaluate performance:

  • CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): The annualized return that smooths out year-to-year volatility. A 20% CAGR means your capital grew by an average of 20% per year, compounded.
  • Sharpe Ratio: Measures how much return you earned per unit of risk. Above 1.0 is good, above 2.0 is excellent. The Sharpe ratio penalizes strategies that achieve high returns through excessive risk-taking.
  • Maximum Drawdown: The worst peak-to-trough decline. If your account grew from $10,000 to $15,000, then dropped to $12,000, the drawdown is 20%. This number tells you the worst pain you would have endured.
  • Profit Factor: Gross profits divided by gross losses. A profit factor of 2.0 means you made $2 for every $1 you lost. Anything above 1.5 is considered robust.
  • Win Rate: The percentage of trades that were profitable. A 55% win rate with a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio is far more profitable than an 80% win rate with a 1:4 ratio.

The Danger of Curve-Fitting

One of the most common mistakes in backtesting is curve-fitting: optimizing a strategy so heavily on historical data that it performs perfectly in the past but fails in the future. The more parameters you optimize, the more likely you are to find a configuration that fits noise rather than signal.

This simulator avoids that problem entirely because it does not optimize anything. It replays the exact signals that were issued in real time, with your chosen risk parameters applied consistently. The only variables you control are your starting capital, risk per trade, and whether to compound returns. There is no parameter mining, no lookback optimization, and no survivorship bias.

How to Use This Tool Effectively

Start by running the simulation with default settings: $10,000 starting capital, 1% risk per trade, compound returns, all markets. This gives you the baseline performance. Then experiment with different scenarios:

  1. Stress-test with higher risk: Try 2% and 3% per trade to see how it affects both returns and drawdown.
  2. Isolate asset classes: Run forex-only, crypto-only, and futures-only to see which markets contributed most to performance.
  3. Compare time periods: Look at the last 3 years versus the full history to understand recent vs long-term performance.
  4. Simple vs compound: Compare compound and simple returns to understand how reinvestment affects your equity curve.

The goal is not to find the settings that produce the highest return. The goal is to understand the risk-reward profile across different conditions, so you can make an informed decision about whether to subscribe.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What data is the Signal ROI Simulator based on?

The simulator uses audited historical signal performance from 2016 to present. The data is from a verified World Trading Championship competitor whose performance has been independently audited. All signals, including losing ones, are included for full transparency.

How accurate is the backtesting simulation?

The simulator models returns using actual historical signal outcomes. It applies your chosen risk percentage and compounding setting consistently. Real-world results may differ due to execution timing, slippage, and individual market conditions.

What is the difference between compound and simple returns?

Compound returns reinvest profits, so position sizes grow as your account grows. Simple returns keep position sizes based on your starting capital. Compounding produces higher returns over time but also amplifies drawdowns.

What does the Sharpe ratio measure?

The Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted returns. It divides average excess return by the volatility of returns. Above 1.0 is good, above 2.0 is excellent. It helps compare strategies with different risk profiles.

What is maximum drawdown and why does it matter?

Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in your equity. It shows the worst-case scenario. A strategy with lower drawdown is more comfortable to follow, even if absolute returns are somewhat lower.

Can I filter signals by asset class?

Yes. You can select individual asset classes (Forex, Crypto, Futures, Indices, Equities, Polymarket) or run all markets combined. Each market has distinct performance characteristics and risk profiles.

What risk percentage should I use?

The standard recommendation is 1% risk per trade. Higher risk amplifies both gains and losses. Try running the simulator at 0.5%, 1%, and 2% to see how risk percentage affects returns and drawdown.

How does this compare to other signal provider backtests?

Most providers show hypothetical or cherry-picked results. This simulator uses independently audited data from a World Trading Championship competitor. Every win and every loss is included, spanning nearly a decade of live trading.

Does past performance guarantee future results?

No. Past performance is never a guarantee of future results. This simulator is an educational tool. Market conditions change, and future signal performance may differ from historical performance.

What is profit factor and how do I interpret it?

Profit factor is gross profits divided by gross losses. Above 1.0 means profitable, above 1.5 is good, above 2.0 is very good, and above 3.0 is exceptional. It gives a quick sense of the strategy's edge.